Trading the Weather
Polymarket's Tel Aviv temperature markets resolve from airport METAR reports — a Go bot reads the feed at 50 ms cadence and fires pre-signed orders in ~100–200 ms, while a solar weather station and a Kalman filter aim to estimate the temperature before the feed even publishes it.
[deployed] github
Polymarket runs daily markets on the highest temperature in Tel Aviv: a row of one-degree brackets, each a YES/NO contract on whether that bracket will be the day’s high, resolved from the official readings at Ben Gurion Airport. This is today’s, live:
View full market & trade on Polymarket
Contents
- The problem
- The idea
- How it works
- Results
- Vzkchs qtd wjnrbqfeyxm
The problem
The number that settles these markets is measured by a physical station at the airport and published as a METAR — the standard
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